Reconnectingβ¦
Tag
#bayesian
2 articles
Engineering
Nabla Infinity: An Epistemic Confidence Framework for Intelligence
Inside the Nabla epistemic framework: how Prismatic quantifies certainty, decomposes uncertainty into epistemic and aleatoric components, and prevents intelligence analysts from overconfident conclusions.
Mar 20, 2026
Β·
10 min read
Β·
Tomas Korcak (korczis)
nabla
epistemic
confidence
+3
Deep Dive
Hypothesis-Driven Investigation: Scientific Method for DD
Applying scientific methodology to due diligence: hypothesis generation, evidence evaluation, Bayesian updating, and structured analytic techniques
Mar 16, 2026
Β·
12 min read
Β·
Tomas Korcak (korczis)
hypothesis-testing
bayesian
investigation
+2