Calibration Dashboard

Entity-centric investigations with graph exploration

CONFIDENCE IS NOT TRUTH

Models don't fail when they're wrong. They fail when they're not corrected.

BRIER SCORE

0.138

lower is better

ECE

0.075

bucket avg gap

ACCURACY

77%

48 outcomes

DRIFT

0.082

within band

DRIFT DETECTED

SEED FALLBACK · no live outcomes yet DRIFT · 0.082

Reliability Diagram

5 buckets · 48 outcomes

The dashed line is perfect calibration. Points above the line are under-confident; points below are over-confident. The doctrine treats a curve that sits below the line as a louder warning than accuracy alone.

Brier Score — Rolling Window

window: 6 · 48 points

Lower is better. 0.0 is perfect, 0.25 is the coin-flip baseline. A rising trend means the model is drifting and needs recalibration.

Recent Decided Cases

Acme Holdings 0001

Acme Holdings s.r.o.

proceed_with_conditions incorrect
Acme Holdings 0002

Acme Holdings s.r.o.

proceed correct
Acme Holdings 0003

Acme Holdings s.r.o.

proceed correct
Acme Holdings 0004

Acme Holdings s.r.o.

proceed correct
Acme Holdings 0005

Acme Holdings s.r.o.

proceed correct
Acme Holdings 0006

Acme Holdings s.r.o.

proceed_with_conditions incorrect
Acme Holdings 0007

Acme Holdings s.r.o.

proceed correct
Acme Holdings 0008

Acme Holdings s.r.o.

proceed_with_conditions correct
Acme Holdings 0009

Acme Holdings s.r.o.

proceed incorrect
Acme Holdings 0010

Acme Holdings s.r.o.

proceed_with_conditions correct